A tourist guide holds an umbrella featuring a panda pattern in front of Tiananmen Gate in Beijing, China.
Guang Niu | Getty Images
China is expected to release second-quarter growth data on Monday showing that its economy slowed on a quarterly basis to the weakest rate in 27 years, as the country’s trade war with the U.S. takes its toll.
From April to June, China’s GDP growth likely grew 6.2% from a year ago, analysts polled by Reuters forecast. That would be the country’s slowest pace since the first quarter of 1992, the earliest quarterly data on record, according to Reuters.
China’s economy expanded by 6.4% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2019.
China’s months-long trade dispute with the U.S. is weighing on its economy.
Data on Friday showed China’s June exports contracted from a year ago due to higher U.S. tariffs. Imports into China also shrank sharply due to slowing domestic demand.
There are fears of an economic slowdown globally if the U.S.-China trade war persists.
Weak second quarter Chinese economic growth “may cause wobbles in the rest of Asia if the slowdown ignites worries of trade tensions,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of Asia and Oceania economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank.
With China’s exports slowing, “what’s more worrying is an even sharper slowdown in China’s imports flags risks of supply-chain effects hurting rest of Asia for which China remain a major market,” Varathan said in a note on Monday.
— Reuters contributed to this report.