{"id":9076,"date":"2019-09-20T08:19:20","date_gmt":"2019-09-20T05:19:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/khong-lo-song-cuoi-nam\/"},"modified":"2019-09-20T08:19:23","modified_gmt":"2019-09-20T05:19:23","slug":"khong-lo-song-cuoi-nam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/khong-lo-song-cuoi-nam\/","title":{"rendered":"Kh\u00f4ng lo \u201cs\u00f3ng\u201d cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#13;<br \/>\n                                    Qu\u00fd IV &#8211; th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t kinh doanh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n.  C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD\/VND l\u1ea1i tr\u1edf n\u00ean n\u00f3ng b\u1ecfng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 &#8211; Trung ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t. T\u1eeb nay \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m, li\u1ec7u VND c\u00f3 gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0 th\u1eddi gian qua?Ng\u00e0y 18-9, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc (NHNN) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1edbi USD \u1edf m\u1ee9c: 23.143 \u0111\u1ed3ng (t\u0103ng 8 \u0111\u1ed3ng). T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 tham kh\u1ea3o t\u1ea1i S\u1edf giao d\u1ecbch NHNN hi\u1ec7n mua v\u00e0o \u1edf m\u1ee9c 23.200 \u0111\u1ed3ng (kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i) v\u00e0 b\u00e1n ra \u1edf m\u1ee9c 23.787 \u0111\u1ed3ng (t\u0103ng 13 \u0111\u1ed3ng).Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ghi nh\u1eadn \u0111a s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eef t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i so v\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i gi\u1edd phi\u00ean li\u1ec1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn \u1edf m\u1ee9c 23.180 \u0111\u1ed3ng (mua) v\u00e0 23.300 \u0111\u1ed3ng (b\u00e1n), m\u1eb7c cho tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh. T\u00ednh t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng t\u0103ng 30-60 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u1edf c\u1ea3 2 chi\u1ec1u mua v\u00e0o v\u00e0 b\u00e1n ra.S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea t\u1ea1i b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a C\u00f4ng ty Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n R\u1ed3ng Vi\u1ec7t cho th\u1ea5y: T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft th\u00e1ng 8, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i so v\u1edbi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m. Trong khu v\u1ef1c ASEAN, VND v\u00e0 THB l\u00e0 hai \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n duy nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ee9ng y\u00ean\/t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi USD trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh NDT gi\u1ea3m li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u00e0 ch\u1ea1m g\u1ea7n ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 7,2. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng r\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm khi x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi VND do quan h\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng nh\u1eadp si\u00eau r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.Li\u00ean quan t\u1edbi ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, hi\u1ec7n NHNN \u0111ang r\u1ea5t quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u00f4 la ho\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c chuy\u1ec3n quan h\u1ec7 vay \u2013 m\u01b0\u1ee3n sang mua \u2013 b\u00e1n ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7.T\u1eeb 31-9-2019, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng, chi nh\u00e1nh ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i s\u1ebd d\u1eebng cho vay ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 thanh to\u00e1n ra n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i ti\u1ec1n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1, d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc ngay c\u1ea3 khi kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng vay c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n thu s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, kinh doanh \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 vay.C\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb 31-3-2019. \u1ede g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00e0ng h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp v\u1edbi th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c ch\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00f4 la ho\u00e1 c\u00e0ng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng lan to\u1ea3 t\u1eeb bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t h\u00e0ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, chi ph\u00ed vay v\u1ed1n ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd l\u1edbn h\u01a1n do v\u00f9ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t vay ti\u1ec1n VND 6,0-8,0%\/n\u0103m so v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t vay ti\u1ec1n USD 2,8-4,7%\/n\u0103m.Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi doanh nghi\u1ec7p xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ph\u00e1i sinh nh\u01b0 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n,\u2026 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u ho\u00e1 r\u1ee7i ro bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1. \u1ea2nh mang t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t minh h\u1ecda.\u00a0\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a NHNN l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng, C\u00f4ng ty Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n SSI (SSI Research) cho r\u1eb1ng, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh gi\u00fap t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 VND \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi.C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb SSI nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i s\u1ebd g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, sau hai \u0111\u1ee3t mua v\u00e0o ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn l\u00e0 trong 4 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m v\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 7 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ebfn nay.Theo \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a SSI l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 70 t\u1ef7 USD. Th\u1ee9 hai, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111ang di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i. C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u00e1ng 8 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 3,43 t\u1ef7 USD, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 k\u1ec9 l\u1ee5c t\u00ednh theo th\u00e1ng trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y.L\u0169y k\u1ebf 8 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 5,1 t\u1ef7 USD.Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n FDI \u0111\u0103ng k\u00ed v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n v\u1eabn t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec1u, \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft th\u00e1ng 8 c\u00f3 11,96 t\u1ef7 USD v\u1ed1n FDI gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n, t\u0103ng 6,3% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u00ec n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp (FII) c\u0169ng kh\u00e1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ee5 b\u00e1n v\u1ed1n c\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a Vietcombank, VinGroup, Vinaconex,&#8230; v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t vay v\u1ed1n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vinmec, VPBank,&#8230;. C\u00e1n c\u00e2n t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 9,1 t\u1ef7 USD trong 6 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019.Th\u1ee9 ba, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n l\u1edbn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y s\u1ebd v\u1ec1 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi nh\u01b0 kho\u1ea3n b\u00e1n v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a BIDV v\u00e0 m\u00f9a ki\u1ec1u h\u1ed1i cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m. Ngo\u00e0i ra, nh\u1eefng kinh nghi\u1ec7m \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a NHNN c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1.C\u0169ng chung nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND s\u1ebd \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, chuy\u00ean gia t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh &#8211; TS C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c cho r\u1eb1ng, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft do Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng NDT l\u00e0 ch\u01b0a l\u1edbn. M\u1ed9t l\u00e0, NDT ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong 8 lo\u1ea1i ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 trong r\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 NHNN t\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1.Hai l\u00e0, ngo\u00e0i bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0: Kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u, v\u1ed1n FDI, y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc\u2026Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p, TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c cho r\u1eb1ng, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i, \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ki\u00ean \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 linh ho\u1ea1t. Ph\u1ea3i l\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf n\u01b0\u1edbc ta, \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u0129 m\u00f4 l\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t, mu\u1ed1n v\u1eady th\u00ec c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1\u201d, TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c khuy\u1ebfn c\u00e1o.<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/cafef.vn\/ty-gia-usd-vnd-khong-lo-song-cuoi-nam-2019092009272039.chn\" rel=\"nofollow\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#13; Qu\u00fd IV &#8211; th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t kinh doanh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n. C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD\/VND l\u1ea1i tr\u1edf n\u00ean n\u00f3ng b\u1ecfng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 &#8211; Trung ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t. T\u1eeb nay \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m, li\u1ec7u VND [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9077,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9076","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Kh\u00f4ng lo \u201cs\u00f3ng\u201d cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m - Super News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/khong-lo-song-cuoi-nam\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kh\u00f4ng lo \u201cs\u00f3ng\u201d cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m - Super News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#013; Qu\u00fd IV &#8211; th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t kinh doanh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n. C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD\/VND l\u1ea1i tr\u1edf n\u00ean n\u00f3ng b\u1ecfng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 &#8211; Trung ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t. 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