{"id":8854,"date":"2019-09-16T16:23:46","date_gmt":"2019-09-16T13:23:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/thong-diep-chinh-xac-ma-nhnn-huong-den-khi-giam-lai-suat-dieu-hanh-la-gi\/"},"modified":"2019-09-16T16:23:49","modified_gmt":"2019-09-16T13:23:49","slug":"thong-diep-chinh-xac-ma-nhnn-huong-den-khi-giam-lai-suat-dieu-hanh-la-gi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/thong-diep-chinh-xac-ma-nhnn-huong-den-khi-giam-lai-suat-dieu-hanh-la-gi\/","title":{"rendered":"Th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c m\u00e0 NHNN h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn khi gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh l\u00e0 g\u00ec?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#13;<br \/>\n                                    B\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n SSI v\u1eeba c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u hanh.\u00a0T\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 16\/9\/2019, theo quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a NHNN, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u00e1i c\u1ea5p v\u1ed1n s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 6,25%\/n\u0103m xu\u1ed1ng 6,0%\/n\u0103m; l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u00e1i chi\u1ebft kh\u1ea5u t\u1eeb 4,25%\/n\u0103m xu\u1ed1ng 4,0%\/n\u0103m; l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay qua \u0111\u00eam trong thanh to\u00e1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 cho vay b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t v\u1ed1n trong thanh to\u00e1n b\u00f9 tr\u1eeb c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng t\u1eeb 7,25%\/n\u0103m xu\u1ed1ng 7,0%\/n\u0103m. Ngo\u00e0i ra,\u00a0l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u00e0o mua gi\u1ea5y t\u1edd c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 qua nghi\u1ec7p v\u1ee5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edf t\u1eeb 4,75%\/n\u0103m xu\u1ed1ng 4,5%\/n\u0103m.\u00a0Nh\u00f3m ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a SSI cho r\u1eb1ng, th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed v\u1ed1n, kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft l\u00e0 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.\u00a0Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, NHNN \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed5ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n thanh to\u00e1n (M2) \u2026, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i qua trung gian l\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c n\u00ean t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn.\u00a0T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cung ti\u1ec1n M2 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft th\u00e1ng 6\/2019 l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 7,36% v\u00e0 7,11% &#8211; th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 2018 l\u00e0 7,86% v\u00e0 8,39%. NHNN c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t n\u1edbi h\u1ea1n m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cho c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ee7 ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n nh\u01b0ng h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c NHTM.Theo SSI, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng c\u1ea3 n\u0103m v\u1eabn l\u00e0 14% cho th\u1ea5y NHNN v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh cung ti\u1ec1n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n h\u1ee3p l\u00fd b\u1edfi x\u00e9t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u1ed5ng c\u1ea7u ch\u1eadm c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n, t\u0103ng cung ti\u1ec1n s\u1ebd t\u0103ng r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, nh\u1eadp si\u00eau v\u00e0 bong b\u00f3ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n. Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng chi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 &#8211; Trung leo thang l\u00e0 2 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o nh\u00e3n ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i t\u1ee9c tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00e1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n ng\u1eafn tr\u00ean th\u1ee9 c\u1ea5p l\u00e0 2 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t OMO.\u00a0Trong ng\u00e0y nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng tin gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t qua \u0111\u00eam tr\u00ean li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ed1ng 2,78%\/n\u0103m (gi\u1ea3m 20 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n), l\u1ee3i t\u1ee9c TPCP k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 1-3 n\u0103m gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 6-12 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n xu\u1ed1ng quanh m\u1ee9c 2,6%\/n\u0103m.X\u00e9t d\u00e0i h\u01a1n, c\u00e1c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng s\u1ebd dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u00edn phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t OMO (t\u1eeb 2,75%\/n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn 4,5%\/n\u0103m). Trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng, gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n r\u1ebb h\u01a1n tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng (v\u00e0 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng thanh kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o) s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c NHTM \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 1 (t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c NHTM v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n).\u00a0Tuy v\u1eady, v\u1ed1n li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng c\u00e1c nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ed1n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, kh\u00f4ng d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea5p t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf b\u1edfi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 20% so v\u1edbi v\u1ed1n huy \u0111\u1ed9ng TCKT &amp; D\u00e2n c\u01b0 n\u00ean t\u00ednh li\u00ean th\u00f4ng t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 2 (th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng) xu\u1ed1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 1 c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i.D\u00f9 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 1 l\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i ti\u1ebfp theo sau m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c NHTMNN ti\u00ean phong gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m ng\u00e0nh \u01b0u ti\u00ean t\u1edbi 2 l\u1ea7n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn nay; NHNN tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd x\u1eed l\u00fd nghi\u00eam c\u00e1c NHTM ch\u1ea1y \u0111ua t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t huy \u0111\u1ed9ng trong \u0111\u00f3 g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng; ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng cho vay b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c NHTM\u2026 Qua \u0111\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p.Th\u1eddi gian g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c NHTM y\u1ebfu thanh kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t huy \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean kh\u00e1 cao, n\u1edbi r\u1ed9ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t huy \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m c\u00e1c NHTMNN v\u00e0 NHTMCP l\u1edbn. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng tr\u00ean 70% th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n huy \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 cho vay, nh\u00f3m NHTMNN v\u00e0 c\u00e1c NHTMCP l\u1edbn m\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t chung c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 1.&#8221;Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a NHNN n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng l\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c NHTM l\u1edbn th\u00ec m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ebfn bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng, b\u01a1m ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0o n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf&#8221;, SSI nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.\u00a0<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/cafef.vn\/thong-diep-chinh-xac-ma-nhnn-huong-den-khi-giam-lai-suat-dieu-hanh-la-gi-20190916173552343.chn\" rel=\"nofollow\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#13; B\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n SSI v\u1eeba c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u hanh.\u00a0T\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 16\/9\/2019, theo quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a NHNN, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u00e1i c\u1ea5p v\u1ed1n s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 6,25%\/n\u0103m xu\u1ed1ng 6,0%\/n\u0103m; l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u00e1i chi\u1ebft [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8855,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c m\u00e0 NHNN h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn khi gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh l\u00e0 g\u00ec? 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