{"id":8329,"date":"2019-09-08T08:22:27","date_gmt":"2019-09-08T05:22:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/dau-tu-chung-khoan-muon-co-lai-phai-kien-nhan-vuot-troi\/"},"modified":"2019-09-08T08:22:29","modified_gmt":"2019-09-08T05:22:29","slug":"dau-tu-chung-khoan-muon-co-lai-phai-kien-nhan-vuot-troi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/dau-tu-chung-khoan-muon-co-lai-phai-kien-nhan-vuot-troi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201c\u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 l\u00e3i ph\u1ea3i ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/p>\n

B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u1eabn nhi\u1ec1u phen “ng\u1ea3 nghi\u00eang” do \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ngo\u1ea1i bi\u00ean. Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn lu\u00f4n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 theo s\u00e1t nh\u01b0ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n hay kh\u00f4ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t ch\u1ea7n ch\u1eeb khi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u00f3 l\u00e3i v\u1eabn lu\u00f4n b\u1ea5p b\u00eanh.<\/p>\n

“C\u00e0 ph\u00ea cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n” k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y, VnEconomy \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eb7p g\u1ee1 TS. L\u00ea \u0110\u1ee9c Kh\u00e1nh – Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c C\u00f4ng ty Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n D\u1ea7u kh\u00ed (PSI), v\u00e0 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 “chinh chi\u1ebfn” l\u00e2u n\u0103m tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

Lu\u00f4n \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau cao ngay c\u1ea3 khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn<\/b><\/p>\n

L\u00e0 chuy\u00ean gia trong gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng sinh l\u00e3i trong \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y?<\/i><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f2i h\u00f2i nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng ph\u1ea9m ch\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a t\u00ednh c\u00e1ch, th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c chuy\u00ean m\u00f4n c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 kinh nghi\u1ec7m th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf t\u00edch l\u0169y tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t sinh l\u1eddi c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n trung b\u00ecnh VN-Index\/VN30 theo t\u1eebng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n (1 – 3 -5 n\u0103m…).<\/p>\n

K\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu theo th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea nh\u00ecn chung v\u1eabn l\u00e0 k\u00eanh h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn nh\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o v\u00e0ng, b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed1t c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng chung l\u00e0 nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u00edt nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n

Trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y, r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n \u0111ang trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VN-Index \u0111ang \u1edf xu th\u1ebf Uptrend (t\u0103ng) l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o k\u00e8m theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00f3m ng\u00e0nh nh\u00f3m c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn t\u1ea1i m\u1ed7i giai \u0111o\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 nh\u00f3m th\u1ee7y s\u1ea3n, b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m, b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n, x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng – v\u1eadt li\u1ec7u, d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed… nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tuy\u1ec7t v\u1eddi mang l\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t cao cho danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. Kh\u00f4ng \u00edt nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh t\u00edch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 r\u1ea5t t\u1ed1t.<\/p>\n

K\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu theo th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea nh\u00ecn chung v\u1eabn l\u00e0 k\u00eanh h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn nh\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o v\u00e0ng, b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed1t c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng chung l\u00e0 nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n<\/p>\n

TS. L\u00ea \u0110\u1ee9c Kh\u00e1nh – Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c PSI<\/p>\n

Nh\u00ecn chung t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i sinh l\u00e3i t\u1eeb k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n l\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0 c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 trong c\u00e1c n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp theo. Ch\u1ec9 nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 kinh nghi\u1ec7m, nh\u1ea1y b\u00e9n c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00f3 t\u00ednh ki\u00ean tr\u00ec t\u1ed1t m\u1edbi t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong c\u00e1c n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e2u kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n? T\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00e0y trong t\u1ed5ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/i><\/p>\n

T\u00f4i c\u00f3 tham gia \u0111\u00f4i ch\u00fat v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m giao d\u1ecbch H\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VN30, giao d\u1ecbch s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ph\u00e1i sinh. Ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u1eabn l\u00e0 s\u1edf tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00f4i t\u1eadp trung t\u1ed1i \u0111a ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c (70%) c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i t\u00f4i d\u00e0nh giao d\u1ecbch H\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai VN30 v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean v\u1eabn t\u01b0 duy v\u1ec1 kho\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1eb7n h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n

T\u00f4i c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y s\u1ebd tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i h\u01a1n khi d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec1 ph\u00f2ng nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng trong n\u0103m nay?<\/i><\/p>\n

Trong n\u0103m nay r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng th\u00e0nh t\u00edch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 cho \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1t b\u1eb1ng n\u0103m 2018 (kho\u1ea3ng 30% trung b\u00ecnh cho t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n \u1ee7y th\u00e1c) cho d\u00f9 m\u1ee9c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ec1 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kh\u00f4ng nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec1u v\u1eabn \u0111ang c\u00f3 l\u00e3i v\u00e0 c\u00f3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t b\u1edfi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1eeba qua m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean c\u00f2n 4 – 5 th\u00e1ng ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t sinh l\u1eddi trung b\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n khi qu\u00fd 4 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 qu\u00fd m\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n. T\u00f4i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng m\u1ee9c sinh l\u1eddi trung b\u00ecnh n\u0103m nay s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t quanh m\u1ed1c 40 – 50%. T\u00f4i lu\u00f4n \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau cao ngay c\u1ea3 khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadp trung t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i hi\u1ebfm hoi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n

B\u00ed quy\u1ebft n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 “Nh\u1ea5t ngh\u1ec7 tinh nh\u1ea5t th\u00e2n vinh” trong \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n?<\/b><\/p>\n

So v\u1edbi c\u00e1c k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u00e1c (v\u00e0ng, ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7, b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n), \u00f4ng th\u1ea5y t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 sinh l\u1eddi c\u1ee7a k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n hi\u1ec7n nay th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/i><\/p>\n

T\u00f4i v\u1eabn ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n th\u1eadt tuy\u1ec7t v\u1eddi. D\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i th\u1eddi c\u01a1, r\u1ed3i mua v\u00e0o v\u00e0 n\u1eafm gi\u1eef r\u1ed3i sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c kh\u00e1c. Sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee3i ch\u1edd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu r\u1ed3i ch\u00fang ta l\u1ea1i c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u danh m\u1ee5c v\u00e0 mua c\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng am hi\u1ec3u nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ec1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ea1o c\u00e1c k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m nh\u1eefng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea so s\u00e1nh c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o, t\u00e0i li\u1ec7u nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u1ed5 th\u00f4ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0 mang l\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t trung b\u00ecnh cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

“Nh\u1ea5t ngh\u1ec7 tinh nh\u1ea5t th\u00e2n vinh” c\u0169ng \u00e1m ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1eabn s\u1ed1ng t\u1ed1t khi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o v\u00e0ng hay b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n nh\u01b0ng nh\u00ecn chung \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u1eabn cho hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n. T\u00f4i c\u0169ng c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y may m\u1eafn \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam – kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u t\u1ed1t.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00eau ca kh\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 ki\u1ebfm \u0103n nh\u1edd ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n. \u00d4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ea5y \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00fang v\u1edbi b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n m\u00ecnh (v\u00e0 c\u00e1c kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh) kh\u00f4ng?<\/i><\/p>\n

T\u00f4i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n n\u00e0y – nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n m\u00e0 c\u00e1c kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n, kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c, m\u00f4i gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec7n nay.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng sau khi \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh cao 1.200 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng t\u01b0 2018 r\u1ed3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh d\u00e0i quanh m\u1ed1c 900 – 980 \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u01a1n 1 n\u0103m nay \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia m\u00f4i gi\u1edbi hay t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

Ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y thanh kho\u1ea3n tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m s\u00fat, kh\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng, d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch nhanh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m ng\u00e0nh “b\u1ecb qu\u00ean l\u00e3ng” nh\u01b0 th\u1ee7y s\u1ea3n, b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n… trong khi c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m ng\u00e0nh “\u01b0a th\u00edch” nh\u01b0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n, d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed, b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n tham gia ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu thu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m ng\u00e0nh n\u00f3i tr\u00ean c\u00f3 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 t\u1ed1t.<\/p>\n

R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u00e3i ho\u1eb7c thua l\u1ed7 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n s\u1ebd t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n, m\u00f4i gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3. T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean, ch\u00ednh h\u1ecd c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p do th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n s\u00f3ng (th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00f4i l\u00fac c\u1ea7n nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u00edch l\u0169y).<\/p>\n

C\u00e1 nh\u00e2n t\u00f4i l\u1ea1i ngh\u0129 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u00edt nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 c\u00e1i nh\u00ecn to\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh v\u00e0 t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. T\u00f4i v\u1eabn cho r\u1eb1ng n\u0103m n\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1ed1t, ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u00ecnh c\u00f3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng t\u1ed1t c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

T\u00f4i v\u1eabn suy ngh\u0129 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u00e3i c\u0169ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1edfi \u0111\u00f4i l\u00fac ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00fang c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng ph\u1ea3i cho n\u00f3 th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1. N\u1ebfu ch\u00fang ta n\u1ea3n ch\u00ed b\u00e1n s\u1edbm th\u00ec c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i s\u1ebd tr\u00f4i qua. Nhi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu t\u00f4i mua kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng ngay ho\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 1 – 3 th\u00e1ng nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qua giai \u0111o\u1ea1n “\u0111i ngang” \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

L\u00ea \u0110\u1ee9c Kh\u00e1nh<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 xu\u1ea5t s\u1eafc \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch h\u1ecd t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00f3 nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o. T\u00f4i v\u00e0 kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng v\u1eabn th\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u00e0 th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 phong c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i to\u00e0n ho\u00e0n t\u1ef1 tin v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea1t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed1t qua c\u00e1c n\u0103m cho d\u00f9 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 n\u0103m kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng th\u0103ng tr\u1ea7m. N\u0103m thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i th\u00ec ai m\u00e0 ch\u1ea3 c\u00f3 l\u00e3i d\u00f9 v\u1eabn c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00f4ng may nh\u01b0ng sinh l\u1eddi trong n\u0103m kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n m\u1edbi m\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i.<\/p>\n

K\u00eanh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng n\u1edf r\u1ed9. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u00e0 d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi nhi\u1ec1u lu\u1ed3ng th\u00f4ng tin, \u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n n\u00ean h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n sang tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p?<\/i><\/p>\n

Phong c\u00e1ch qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 b\u00e0n lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 gi\u1eefa c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng. Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean v\u1eabn n\u00ean t\u00f9y v\u00e0o kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro, kinh nghi\u1ec7m, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu \u00edt c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1ed1t tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00ec vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n sang tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed3i. C\u00e1 nh\u00e2n t\u00f4i th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng th\u00edch tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p l\u1eafm b\u1edfi hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh 10-14% kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i.<\/p>\n

T\u00f4i th\u00edch c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ph\u1ed5 th\u00f4ng h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 20%\/n\u0103m tr\u1edf l\u00ean. C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00f4i th\u00edch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu h\u01a1n n\u00ean nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd ngh\u0129 kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 chia s\u1ebb ch\u00fat b\u00ed quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u00e3i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i? \u1ede g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean gia, \u00f4ng c\u00f3 khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb g\u00ec v\u1ec1 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1edbi?<\/i><\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t t\u0103ng r\u1ed3i gi\u1ea3m r\u1ed3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ed3i l\u1ea1i l\u00ean v\u00e0 xu\u1ed1ng. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n b\u1edfi c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng tin v\u0129 m\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f3ng v\u1ed9i trong giao d\u1ecbch ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u k\u1ef9 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean l\u1ea1m d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

T\u00f4i nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u th\u00f4ng tin t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n, kinh nghi\u1ec7m hay chia s\u1ebb c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 tham kh\u1ea3o ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i. T\u00f4i t\u1ef1 m\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh mua c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu th\u00f4ng qua ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng t\u1eebng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n

T\u00f4i c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u00e1c b\u1edfi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u00fap cho t\u00f4i c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m mua t\u1ed1t, d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u00f4i ch\u00fat h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i c\u1ee7a c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean qua ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u00e0ng l\u1ecdc nh\u1eefng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu m\u1ea1nh trong m\u1ed7i giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ebd d\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng bao nhi\u1ec1u ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m danh m\u1ee5c cho c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

T\u00f4i v\u1eabn suy ngh\u0129 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u00e3i c\u0169ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1edfi \u0111\u00f4i l\u00fac ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00fang c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng ph\u1ea3i cho n\u00f3 th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1. N\u1ebfu ch\u00fang ta n\u1ea3n ch\u00ed b\u00e1n s\u1edbm th\u00ec c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i s\u1ebd tr\u00f4i qua. Nhi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu t\u00f4i mua kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng ngay ho\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 1 – 3 th\u00e1ng nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qua giai \u0111o\u1ea1n “\u0111i ngang” \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap ch\u00fang ta l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng c\u00f9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

T\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng VN-Index c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00eam 1 th\u1eddi gian quanh v\u00f9ng 970 – 980 \u0111i\u1ec3m tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c 1.000 – 1.100 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m. “Sau c\u01a1n m\u01b0a tr\u1eddi l\u1ea1i s\u00e1ng” – Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u1ebd s\u1edbm k\u1ebft th\u00fac \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ed7 cho vi\u1ec7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u1eabn nhi\u1ec1u phen “ng\u1ea3 nghi\u00eang” do \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ngo\u1ea1i bi\u00ean. 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