{"id":7525,"date":"2019-08-27T00:40:33","date_gmt":"2019-08-26T21:40:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/cang-thang-thuong-mai-my-trung-leo-thang-tac-dong-the-nao-doi-voi-nen-kinh-te-thi-truong-tai-chinh-viet-nam-va-toan-cau\/"},"modified":"2019-08-27T00:40:34","modified_gmt":"2019-08-26T21:40:34","slug":"cang-thang-thuong-mai-my-trung-leo-thang-tac-dong-the-nao-doi-voi-nen-kinh-te-thi-truong-tai-chinh-viet-nam-va-toan-cau","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/cang-thang-thuong-mai-my-trung-leo-thang-tac-dong-the-nao-doi-voi-nen-kinh-te-thi-truong-tai-chinh-viet-nam-va-toan-cau\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung leo thang t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i xin \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u0103ng b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ed9c gi\u1ea3 c\u00f9ng theo d\u00f5i.<\/i><\/p>\n

Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i leo thang c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung<\/b><\/p>\n

C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2018 \u0111\u1ebfn nay. Ng\u00e0y 23\/8\/2019, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00ean n\u1ea5c cao m\u1edbi khi hai b\u00ean tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd \u00e1p m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a l\u1eabn nhau; theo \u0111\u00f3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd \u00e1p m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 5 ho\u1eb7c 10% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi 75 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a M\u1ef9 (hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1\/9 v\u00e0 15\/12\/2019). Ngo\u00e0i ra, \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi hai m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ch\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 \u00f4 t\u00f4 v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5 t\u00f9ng \u00f4 t\u00f4, Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd \u00e1p th\u00eam thu\u1ebf l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 25% v\u00e0 5%, t\u1eeb 15\/12\/2019.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng D. Trump tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1ebd n\u00e2ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf l\u00ean 30% (thay v\u00ec m\u1ee9c \u0111ang \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng 25%) \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi 250 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c (hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1\/10\/2019) v\u00e0 s\u1ebd \u00e1p m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 15% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi 300 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eeb 1\/9\/2019 (thay cho m\u1ee9c 10% nh\u01b0 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3; trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u00e1p thu\u1ebf t\u1eeb 15\/12\/2019); \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u00f3 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u00fat c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p M\u1ef9 ra kh\u1ecfi Trung Qu\u1ed1c. <\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec thay \u0111\u1ed5i, g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a hai n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u00e1p thu\u1ebf cao h\u01a1n, v\u1edbi th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m xa nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 ng\u00e0y 15\/12\/2019. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng D. Trump c\u0169ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 “kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c”, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 vi\u1ec7c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p M\u1ef9 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p thay th\u1ebf h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, cho th\u1ea5y th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ea5t c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn c\u1ee7a ph\u00eda M\u1ef9. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9, chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00f9ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u00e1ng ng\u00e0y 26\/8\/2019, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trng Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ecbu gi\u1ecdng h\u01a1n v\u00e0 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. D\u00f9 v\u1eady, di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 lan r\u1ed9ng sang c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, \u0111\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm, t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh\u2026v.v. <\/p>\n

T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/b> v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam <\/b><\/p>\n

C\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (nh\u01b0 IMF, WB,…) \u0111\u1ec1u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung \u0111ang khi\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 b\u1ecb ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c b\u1ecb “m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t” trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y v\u00ec c\u1ea3 hai \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc. <\/p>\n

Theo Oxford Economics, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m 0,5 \u0111i\u1ec3m %, c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 0,5 \u0111i\u1ec3m % v\u00e0 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 1,3 \u0111i\u1ec3m % n\u0103m 2020. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t, b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a Citibank c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1, trong hai n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp theo, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u00e1p thu\u1ebf n\u00eau tr\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 1-1,8 \u0111i\u1ec3m %; c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,1-0,4 \u0111i\u1ec3m % v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,2-0,8 \u0111i\u1ec3m %. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi t\u1eeb 23\/8, ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 h\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y. Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f2n t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng n\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 r\u00fat doanh nghi\u1ec7p kh\u1ecfi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i, h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm sang M\u1ef9, gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 \u2026v.v. <\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam:<\/b> nh\u01b0 nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1 t\u00ednh trong B\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u00e1ng 5\/2019 v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y, trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n<\/b> xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m, do Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi th\u1eddi gian. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u 7 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng 7,5% (so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 15,3% c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2018). <\/p>\n

Trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n,<\/b> xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd t\u00edch c\u1ef1c h\u01a1n khi \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a thay th\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t m\u1edbi sau khi d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u kinh doanh v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi <\/i>ng\u00e0nh h\u00e0ng<\/i>, n\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh h\u00e0ng<\/i> <\/i>nh\u01b0 m\u00e1y t\u00ednh, s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 linh ki\u1ec7n, th\u1ee7y s\u1ea3n, \u0111\u1ed3 g\u1ed7, n\u1ed9i th\u1ea5t\u2026<\/i> nhanh nh\u1ea1y, ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00f4ng tin, t\u00ecm ra nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 khai th\u00e1c, tranh th\u1ee7 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u01a1n l\u00ean, chi\u1ebfm l\u0129nh th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n, t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ea1nh tranh, \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n, nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, th\u00ec s\u1ebd n\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc<\/i>, c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh h\u00e0ng nh\u01b0 <\/i>th\u00e9p, da gi\u1ea7y, d\u1ec7t may, n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n, h\u00e0ng \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/i>,\u2026<\/i> s\u1ebd ch\u1ecbu th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c c\u1ea1nh tranh khi c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c sang Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf. <\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0<\/b>, hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c, H\u1ed3ng K\u00f4ng sang ASEAN v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, trong \u0111\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p<\/b> c\u0169ng s\u1ebd h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i. Trong 7 th\u00e1ng n\u0103m 2019, c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 H\u1ed3ng Kong v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng v\u1ed1n FDI \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n 7,6 t\u1ef7 USD, g\u1ea5p 3 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, chi\u1ebfm 19,5% t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u0103ng k\u00fd FDI v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ec1 “\u0111\u1ed9i l\u1ed1t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0” \u0111ang v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p; \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1ec9nh t\u00e1o ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n, s\u00e0ng l\u1ecdc v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5. <\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang l\u00e0m x\u00e1o tr\u1ed9n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng<\/b> to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u; g\u00e2y ra gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n, tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, kinh doanh, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p FDI \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc tham gia chu\u1ed7i, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam. B\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a Citibank nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh Vi\u1ec7t Nam, \u0110\u00e0i Loan, Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u00e1 l\u1edbn trong r\u1ee7i ro chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng. <\/p>\n

V\u1edbi di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 tr\u00ean, nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a BIDV c\u00f3 c\u00f9ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1edbi nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c l\u1edbn (nh\u01b0 WB, IMF, ADB\u2026.) d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong n\u0103m 2020 v\u1eabn t\u0103ng kh\u00e1 (6,5-6,6%), nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2019 (6,7-6,8%). <\/p>\n

T<\/b>\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng <\/b>t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh <\/b><\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n <\/b>(TTCK) lu\u00f4n l\u00e0 h\u00e0n th\u1eed bi\u1ec3u ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n M\u1ef9, t\u1eeb v\u00f2ng \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 5 v\u00e0 6 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1ea1nh, c\u00f9ng chi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi TTCK Trung Qu\u1ed1c (H\u00ecnh 1). <\/b><\/p>\n

H\u00ecnh 1: Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng TTCK M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/b><\/p>\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bloomberg, Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

V\u1edbi v\u00f2ng 6, ngay sau c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a \u00e1p thu\u1ebf, ng\u00e0y 23\/8\/2019 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Dow Jones gi\u1ea3m h\u01a1n 2,37%, S&P 500 gi\u1ea3m 2,59%, Nasdaq gi\u1ea3m 3%. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 FTSE 100 gi\u1ea3m 0,47%, DAX gi\u1ea3m 1,15%… T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, c\u00e1c TTCK ch\u00e2u \u00c1 n\u00f3i chung v\u00e0 TTCK Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u00f3i ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ec1u ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c. \u0110\u1ebfn 12h ng\u00e0y 26\/08\/2019 (gi\u1edd Vi\u1ec7t Nam), ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Shanghai Composite gi\u1ea3m 1,29%, Hang Seng gi\u1ea3m 3,18%, Nikkei 225 gi\u1ea3m 2,29%… (H\u00ecnh 2). Ri\u00eang ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VNindex c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 h\u01a1n (0,96%), c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n \u00edt h\u01a1n\u2026v.v.<\/p>\n

H\u00ecnh 2: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng <\/b>m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 <\/b>th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ng\u00e0y 2<\/b>6<\/b>\/8\/2019 (\u0111i\u1ec3m, %) <\/b><\/p>\n

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\"C\u0103ng<\/div>\n
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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bloomberg, Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\u0110<\/b>\u1ed1i v\u1edbi<\/b> t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, <\/b>c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc. T\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n so v\u1edbi USD v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c di\u1ec5n ra (ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n nh\u01b0 JPY, THB, RUB\u2026); \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c b\u1edfi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f3, VND \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng r\u1ea5t \u00edt t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn nay (H\u00ecnh 3).<\/p>\n

H\u00ecnh 3<\/b>: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n so v\u1edbi USD t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 26\/8\/2019 <\/b><\/p>\n

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\"C\u0103ng<\/div>\n
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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bloomberg, Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Qua minh ch\u1ee9ng v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00eau tr\u00ean, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y <\/i><\/b>chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i leo thang \u0111\u00e3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u; v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u00edt h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7.<\/p>\n

L\u1eddi k\u1ebft:\u00a0<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n

C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung leo thang v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n, <\/i>t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng <\/i>l\u1edbn; \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p Vi\u1ec7t Nam lu\u00f4n b\u00e1m s\u00e1t, theo d\u00f5i, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o, \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 kh\u00e1c nhau (k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t). \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i l\u00e0 c\u00f3, nh\u01b0ng r\u1ee7i ro, th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c c\u0169ng nhi\u1ec1u; n\u00ean c\u1ea7n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c, \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng h\u01a1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9; t\u1ec9nh t\u00e1o s\u00e0ng l\u1ecdc c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0<\/i>; ki\u00ean quy\u1ebft ch\u1ed1ng gian l\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9i l\u1ed1t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i; t\u1ec9nh t\u00e1o kh\u00f4ng xo\u00e1y v\u00e0o chi\u1ebfn tranh ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7; \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c can thi\u1ec7p th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh b\u1ecb cho l\u00e0 thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.\u00a0<\/i><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam, b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh t\u00e1i c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u, ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p h\u00e0i h\u00f2a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a, \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh x\u1eed l\u00fd n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u, gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh n\u1ee3 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u00e0 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch, t\u0103ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0\u2026v.v.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/b><\/i> <\/i><\/b><\/p>\n

TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c v\u00e0 Nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV<\/b>
<\/b><\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i xin \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u0103ng b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ed9c gi\u1ea3 c\u00f9ng theo d\u00f5i. Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i leo thang c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2018 \u0111\u1ebfn nay. 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Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i leo thang c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2018 \u0111\u1ebfn nay. 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