{"id":7307,"date":"2019-08-22T20:28:51","date_gmt":"2019-08-22T17:28:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/de-kich-thich-kinh-te-trung-quoc-co-the-phai-lam-nhieu-viec-hon-la-cai-cach-lai-suat\/"},"modified":"2019-08-22T20:28:52","modified_gmt":"2019-08-22T17:28:52","slug":"de-kich-thich-kinh-te-trung-quoc-co-the-phai-lam-nhieu-viec-hon-la-cai-cach-lai-suat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/de-kich-thich-kinh-te-trung-quoc-co-the-phai-lam-nhieu-viec-hon-la-cai-cach-lai-suat\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1ec3 k\u00edch th\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m nhi\u1ec1u vi\u1ec7c h\u01a1n l\u00e0 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ch\u1ee9c tr\u00e1ch ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng cao hay kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

PBOC \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng cho l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n m\u1edbi, hay LPR.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a LPR m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i l\u00e0 t\u0103ng vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ef1c, Liu Guoqiang, Ph\u00f3 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c PBOC, cho bi\u1ebft h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba, t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t gi\u00fap c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, n\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, Liu n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00f3i chung \u0111\u1ec1u nghi ng\u1edd l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1edbi m\u00e0 PBOC v\u1eeba c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd gi\u00fap c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kh\u1edfi s\u1eafc.<\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00f4i ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng LPR c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u1eeba v\u00e0 nh\u1ecf, d\u00f9 v\u1eady s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i\u201d, \u00f4ng Larry Larry Hu, kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Macquarie, chia s\u1ebb quan \u0111i\u1ec3m. \u201cB\u1edfi v\u00ec n\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ebfn thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u1edf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, khi nhu c\u1ea7u t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t\u201d.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh s\u1ef1 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft ph\u1ea3i t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh t\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, PBOC \u0111\u00e3 tung ra m\u1ed9t ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh cho vay trung h\u1ea1n c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau (MLF) v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh cho vay c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng sau \u0111\u00f3, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n bao nhi\u00eau. Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf qu\u00fd II\/2019 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1t 6,2%, ch\u1eadm nh\u1ea5t trong \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 27 n\u0103m, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p l\u1edbn trong t\u1ea1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 th\u01b0\u1eddng vay v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng h\u01a1n, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u0169ng thu\u1ed9c s\u1edf h\u1eefu nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean sau thay \u0111\u1ed5i h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba v\u1eeba qua, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (LPR) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,25% cho c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay m\u1ed9t n\u0103m. M\u1ee9c l\u00e3i n\u00e0y th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 6 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 10 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n so v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t chu\u1ea9n, theo Minyan Liu, ph\u00f3 gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh Moody\u2019s Investors Service.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t nh\u1ecf n\u00f3i tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u201ct\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c PBOC c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay (LPR) s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n\u201d, Liu n\u00f3i. B\u00e0 chia s\u1ebb th\u00eam trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n qua \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra, d\u00f9 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ngo\u00e0i gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
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LPR, MLF v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba, Zhou Liang, ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch \u1ee6y ban \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cho c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 si\u00eau nh\u1ecf (DNNVV) \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 6 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 35,14% so v\u1edbi h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 2,3 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 (kho\u1ea3ng 325,56 t\u1ef7 USD). T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m cho vay kh\u00e1c h\u01a1n 28 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ngo\u00e0i m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e1ng th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 7 ch\u1ec9 ra s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay m\u1edbi t\u0103ng ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n

L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n ch\u1ec9 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay m\u1edbi. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty th\u1ee5 h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1eeb thay \u0111\u1ed5i LPR th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao v\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vay v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. M\u1ed9t l\u00fd do c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng qu\u1ed1c doanh kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n cho vay c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n l\u00e0 v\u00ec d\u01b0\u1edbi chu\u1ea9n, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n

\u201cV\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi cho vay hi\u1ec7n nay kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u1edf quy m\u00f4 cho vay, nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, quy \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 huy \u0111\u1ed9ng – cho vay v\u00e0 c\u00e1c gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 t\u00ednh phi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u201d, \u00f4ng Zhao Zhao Bowen, gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ea1i Blue Stone Asset Management, cho bi\u1ebft trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y. \u201cCh\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 phi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay m\u1edbi ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh b\u1edfi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u201d.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, PBOC cho bi\u1ebft LPR s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn b\u1edfi c\u01a1 s\u1edf cho vay trung h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh r\u00f5 h\u01a1n nhu c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. S\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 trong vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n m\u1edbi h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng th\u00eam t\u00e1m – bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 hai ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i – l\u00ean t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 18 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t chu\u1ea9n c\u1ee7a PBOC v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2015.<\/p>\n

\u201cTheo quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t LPR tham chi\u1ebfu v\u1edbi ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh cho vay trung h\u1ea1n c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau MLF v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7, v\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho MLF l\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00e1c thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 chi ph\u00ed v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 c\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a PBOC \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch\u201d, nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a S&P Global Ratings – Cindy Huang – cho bi\u1ebft trong m\u1ed9t l\u01b0u \u00fd h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0. \u201cTuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ef1c v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c, trong quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ch\u1ee9c tr\u00e1ch ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng cao hay kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. 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