{"id":6905,"date":"2019-08-15T17:20:39","date_gmt":"2019-08-15T14:20:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/hien-tuong-duong-cong-loi-suat-dao-nguoc-khong-phai-ly-do-de-cat-giam-danh-muc-chung-khoan-ngay-lap-tuc\/"},"modified":"2019-08-15T17:20:40","modified_gmt":"2019-08-15T14:20:40","slug":"hien-tuong-duong-cong-loi-suat-dao-nguoc-khong-phai-ly-do-de-cat-giam-danh-muc-chung-khoan-ngay-lap-tuc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/hien-tuong-duong-cong-loi-suat-dao-nguoc-khong-phai-ly-do-de-cat-giam-danh-muc-chung-khoan-ngay-lap-tuc\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cHi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fd do \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m danh m\u1ee5c ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

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CTCK D\u1ea7u kh\u00ed (PSI) v\u1eeba \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Yield Curve) v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng khi m\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u1ee7a tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu k\u00ec h\u1ea1n ng\u1eafn cao h\u01a1n l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu k\u00ec h\u1ea1n d\u00e0i (\u0111\u00f4i khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t ph\u1eb3ng, \u1edf \u0111\u00f3 x\u1ea3y ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n ng\u1eafn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n d\u00e0i).<\/p>\n

Trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n, c\u00e1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n d\u00e0i l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n, \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian c\u00e0ng d\u00e0i c\u00e0ng ch\u1ee9a \u0111\u1ef1ng nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 y\u1ebfu c\u1ea7u m\u1ee9c l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n hay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u theo c\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t c\u0169ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng theo.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ea3y ra khi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1eafp c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Khi \u0111\u00f3, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, c\u1ea7u ti\u1ec1n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c v\u00e0 NHTW s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i h\u1ea1 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00edch th\u00edch n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. V\u00e0 n\u1ebfu N\u0110T n\u1eafm gi\u1eef c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n ng\u1eafn v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n th\u00ec th\u00ec h\u1ecd s\u1ebd c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc chuy\u1ec3n qua mua \u1edf c\u00e1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n d\u00e0i h\u01a1n v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00e0i s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00ec tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 14\/8, l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2007, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 2 n\u0103m v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 0, b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng “Yield Curve” x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n

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M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng theo PSI \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fd do \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m danh m\u1ee5c ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c do:<\/p>\n

(1) H\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1edbi m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh t\u1ebf. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00ean \u01b0u ti\u00ean xem c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i nh\u01b0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung v\u00e0 Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01af\u01a1ng tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

(2) D\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb Bank of America cho th\u1ea5y k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1956 \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng “Yield curve” b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc suy tho\u00e1i nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S&P 500 v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 l\u1eadp \u0111\u1ec9nh trong v\u00f2ng t\u1eeb 2 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ebfn 2 n\u0103m sau.<\/p>\n

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\"PSI:<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

Long Nh\u1eadt<\/p>\n

Theo Tr\u00ed th\u1ee9c tr\u1ebb<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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[ad_1] CTCK D\u1ea7u kh\u00ed (PSI) v\u1eeba \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Yield Curve) v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng khi m\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u1ee7a tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu k\u00ec h\u1ea1n ng\u1eafn […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6906,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cHi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fd do \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m danh m\u1ee5c ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c\u201d - Super News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/hien-tuong-duong-cong-loi-suat-dao-nguoc-khong-phai-ly-do-de-cat-giam-danh-muc-chung-khoan-ngay-lap-tuc\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cHi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fd do \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m danh m\u1ee5c ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c\u201d - Super News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[ad_1] CTCK D\u1ea7u kh\u00ed (PSI) v\u1eeba \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Yield Curve) v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng khi m\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u1ee7a tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu k\u00ec h\u1ea1n ng\u1eafn […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/hien-tuong-duong-cong-loi-suat-dao-nguoc-khong-phai-ly-do-de-cat-giam-danh-muc-chung-khoan-ngay-lap-tuc\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Super News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-08-15T14:20:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-08-15T14:20:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" 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