{"id":6714,"date":"2019-08-12T18:47:08","date_gmt":"2019-08-12T15:47:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/xu-huong-lai-suat-cua-cac-ngan-hang-trung-uong-tren-the-gioi-se-nhu-the-nao\/"},"modified":"2019-08-12T18:47:11","modified_gmt":"2019-08-12T15:47:11","slug":"xu-huong-lai-suat-cua-cac-ngan-hang-trung-uong-tren-the-gioi-se-nhu-the-nao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/xu-huong-lai-suat-cua-cac-ngan-hang-trung-uong-tren-the-gioi-se-nhu-the-nao\/","title":{"rendered":"Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Sau \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u00ean t\u1edd Les Echos s\u1ed1 ra g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y: C\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2008, l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1edfi ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb khu v\u1ef1c Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng khi c\u00e1c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Australia v\u00e0 New Zealand l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t, tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

Christopher Dembik, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Saxo, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: “\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u r\u00f5 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1ebd c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng”.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u m\u00e0 do m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 \u0111ang \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n

Theo Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Australia, t\u00e2m l\u00fd lo ng\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111ang \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp trong th\u00e1ng S\u00e1u v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng B\u00e0y, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Australia \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t 0,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m xu\u1ed1ng 1% nh\u1eb1m xoa d\u1ecbu c\u00e1c lo ng\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Australia.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng gi\u1ea3m chi ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng New Zealand c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 1,25% v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t n\u1eefa trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u00e2m l\u00fd \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m \u0111ang bao ph\u1ee7 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ed7 \u0111ang b\u1ecb ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u0169ng \u0111i theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y v\u00e0 h\u1ea1 0,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t xu\u1ed1ng 5,75% h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng S\u00e1u, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u00fd I\/2019 \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 4 n\u0103m qua (5,8%). C\u00e1c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nam Phi c\u0169ng c\u00f3 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng B\u1ea3y, l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 lan sang c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t t\u1eeb 24% xu\u1ed1ng 19,75%. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,25% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2015.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 Murat Uysal cho r\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong n\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) l\u00e0 l\u00fd do khi\u1ebfn Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y 31\/7, Fed th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m 0,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n xu\u1ed1ng 2%-2,25%. ECB d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u0169ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p can thi\u1ec7p s\u1edbm nh\u1eb1m k\u00edch th\u00edch ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf\u00a0 tham v\u1ecdng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro. Ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c bong b\u00f3ng m\u1edbi, g\u00e2y th\u00eam kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho ng\u00e0nh ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng, hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u00e2m, v\u00e0 l\u1ea5y \u0111i c\u00e1c ch\u1ed7 d\u1ef1a qu\u00fd gi\u00e1 trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p m\u1ed9t kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5 ra.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111i theo xu th\u1ebf tr\u00ean. V\u00ed d\u1ee5 Trung Qu\u1ed1c ngay c\u1ea3 khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf qu\u00fd II c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1t 6,2% hay Canada khi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang kh\u1edfi s\u1eafc.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, do t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng yen, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y l\u00e0 v\u1eabn \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u00e2m \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 kho\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t n\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed3ng yen t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Anh, phi\u00ean h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 h\u00f4m 1\/8 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd khi ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Anh c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. M\u1ed9t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p kh\u00f3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n nay khi s\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a t\u00e2n Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Boris Johnson, ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn, \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea3ng Anh suy gi\u1ea3m.\/.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Sau \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u00ean t\u1edd Les Echos s\u1ed1 ra g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y: C\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2008, l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1edfi ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb khu v\u1ef1c Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng khi c\u00e1c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Australia v\u00e0 New Zealand l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t, tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6715,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\nXu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o? 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