<\/p>\n
V\u1edbi m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t chu\u1ed7i s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n ra nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c FED h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, M\u1ef9 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf l\u00ean 300 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1, VnEconomy \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 cu\u1ed9c trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi \u00f4ng Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng V\u0103n Ph\u01b0\u1edbc, nguy\u00ean quy\u1ec1n Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch \u1ee6y ban Gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Qu\u1ed1c gia, th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean T\u1ed5 t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng, v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 tr\u00ean.<\/p>\n
Ng\u00e0y cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay qua \u0111\u00eam tham chi\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (FED) c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m 0,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m, v\u1ec1 2-2,25%. \u00d4ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y?<\/i><\/p>\n
V\u1ec1 l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft, khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1ea5p xu\u1ed1ng th\u00ec \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb suy y\u1ebfu b\u1edfi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i.<\/p>\n
\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee3t h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a FED k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2008, th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m u \u00e1m nh\u1ea5t trong cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i tr\u00ean t\u1eeb FED v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m ngo\u00e0i d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o chung c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, FED gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00ec d\u00f9 nh\u00ecn \u1edf g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00e0o \u0111i ch\u0103ng n\u1eefa c\u0169ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump. \u00d4ng Trump mu\u1ed1n FED gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 mong \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i suy y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n
L\u00fd lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a v\u1ecb t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 t\u1ea1i sao Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng CNY \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00f4ng Trump th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n r\u00f5 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi l\u00ean l\u00e0m t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n
T\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung, hai b\u00ean h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 m\u1edbi s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng duy nh\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i “v\u0169 kh\u00ed” \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf l\u00ean h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u. \u00d4ng nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn th\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd \u00e1p thu\u1ebf quan 10% l\u00ean n\u1ed1t 300 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c?<\/i><\/p>\n
\u0110\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y, ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i nh\u00ecn b\u1ee9c tranh t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. B\u1ee9c tranh t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11\/2020, b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n \u00f4ng Donald Trump c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng tranh c\u1eed \u1edf r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u bang.<\/p>\n
\u00d4ng Trump r\u1ea5t mong mu\u1ed1n chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ecnh c\u1ea3m c\u1eed tri M\u1ef9 b\u1eb1ng th\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh kinh t\u1ebf. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd nh\u00ecn nh\u1eefng th\u00e0nh t\u1ef1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5m \u0111i\u1ec3m cho Trump.<\/p>\n
Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 t\u1eeb 2016 \u0111\u1ebfn nay \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e0nh qu\u1ea3 l\u1edbn. V\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ea5p\u2026 n\u00f3i chung t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec1u t\u1ed1t. Nh\u00ecn d\u01b0\u1edbi g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 kinh t\u1ebf th\u00ec \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong chuy\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 l\u00ean \u1edf m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n r\u1ea5t t\u1ed1t.<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u l\u00fd do th\u00ec kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3.<\/p>\n
\u1ede kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh kh\u00e1c, nh\u01b0 ta \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebft, m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, ph\u00e1i \u0111o\u00e0n \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 do \u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Robert Lighthizer v\u00e0 B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Steven Mnuchin d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u hy v\u1ecdng ph\u00eda Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd cam k\u1ebft mua m\u1ed9t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n
Sau cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n, M\u1ef9 ra th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ph\u00eda Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh cam k\u1ebft mua n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng cung c\u1ea5p th\u00f4ng tin chi ti\u1ebft. Ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u00f3, \u00f4ng Trump tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e1nh ti\u1ebfp thu\u1ebf l\u00ean 300 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n
Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u00f4ng Trump \u0111ang v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng tranh c\u1eed, \u0111ang mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 l\u00e1 phi\u1ebfu t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n. B\u1edfi l\u1ebd, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0a 16 t\u1ef7 USD \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n
Theo \u00f4ng, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb chuy\u1ec3n sang th\u00e0nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 kh\u00f4ng?<\/i><\/p>\n
Tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 do m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0o t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111o\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 CNY kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 m\u00ecnh Trung Qu\u1ed1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh, tr\u1eeb khi \u0111i theo ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n
Nh\u01b0ng CNY l\u1ea1i \u0111i v\u00e0o r\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, Trung Qu\u1ed1c mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ho\u00e1 CNY, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 theo \u0111u\u1ed5i b\u1ea5y l\u00e2u. T\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng CNY \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 do c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cung c\u1ea7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1eb7t ra.<\/p>\n
Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i l\u1edbn. Khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c mong CNY m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u th\u00ec M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng mong USD m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u. Trung Qu\u1ed1c bi\u1ebft, n\u1ebfu nh\u1ea3y v\u00e0o l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y l\u00e0 s\u1ebd kh\u01a1i m\u00e0o cho cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng chi\u1ebfn tranh ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 x\u1ea3y ra, c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ngh\u0129 Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng CNY \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 theo \u00fd th\u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n
B\u1edfi nh\u01b0 tr\u00ean, \u00f4ng Trump d\u1ea1o g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y lu\u00f4n nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 CNY m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 sao l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD.<\/p>\n
\u0110\u1ed3ng CNY ch\u1ec9 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 trong t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung. M\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 r\u00fat l\u1ea1i th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n
B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 mu\u1ed1n b\u1ecb li\u1ec7t v\u00e0o n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, h\u1ecd c\u0169ng mu\u1ed1n khi \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n
V\u1edbi lo\u1ea1t di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn tr\u00ean, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND c\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1ng lo kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0a \u00f4ng?<\/i><\/p>\n
T\u00f4i ch\u1ec9 s\u1ee3 USD t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00ec USD tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh h\u1ea7m tr\u00fa ng\u1ee5 cho nhi\u1ec1u d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n. Nh\u01b0ng khi USD gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ee9c s\u1ebd b\u1ecb suy y\u1ebfu trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n
Ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u1ec1u bi\u1ebft FED ph\u1ea3i r\u1ea5t c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i, \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i trong vi\u1ec7c xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed, nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f2n cho r\u1eb1ng, t\u1eeb nay \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m, FED c\u00f2n c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam 2 l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n
C\u00f9ng \u0111\u00f3, v\u1ec1 g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 mong mu\u1ed1n, \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0 Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 mong mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed3ng USD suy y\u1ebfu n\u00ean USD kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u00fac n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n
C\u00f2n v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Vi\u1ec7t Nam, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp v\u1eabn li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o nh\u1edd l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n
V\u00ec v\u1eady, khi USD kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 v\u1edbi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cung ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 n\u0103m nay s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
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