<\/p>\n
C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ee7a JP Morgan Chase, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng USD s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh b\u00e0y nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra kh\u00e1 s\u1edbm trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 USD trong kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 “ch\u00f4n v\u00f9i” \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh.<\/p>\n
Gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia d\u1eabn m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) cho r\u1eb1ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD trong kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n 62%, nhi\u1ec1u g\u1ea5p 2 l\u1ea7n t\u1ed5ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i b\u1eb1ng euro, y\u00ean v\u00e0 Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 (NDT).<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng JP Morgan Chase Jim Glassman cho r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c t\u00edch tr\u1eef USD \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i l\u00e0 h\u00e2\u0323u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n l\u00e0m r\u1ed1i lo\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, song \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u00f4\u0323t b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng cho ni\u1ec1m tin v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng USD.<\/p>\n
\u00d4ng gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, khi\u1ebfn xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf h\u01a1n tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n
\u0110\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng USD giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n
T\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a b\u00e1o c\u00e1o JP Morgan cho bi\u1ebft trong nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD sang m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c1 c\u00f3 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n
Trong kh\u00f4ng gian ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u1ebb h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng lo\u1ea1i ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 kh\u00e1c, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n
Theo \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB), trong n\u0103m 2018, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh trong d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 61,7% – m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 20 n\u0103m qua.<\/p>\n
Trong \u00a0b\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u00e1ng 6, ECB l\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i trong d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, nh\u01b0ng v\u1ecb th\u00ea\u0301 th\u00f4\u0301ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y b\u1ecb lung lay \u0111\u00e1ng k\u00ea\u0309 khi gi\u1ea3m 7% sau cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2008 sau khi d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u0111\u00f4\u0300ng USD \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c t\u1ed1i \u0111a.<\/p>\n
N\u0103m 2018, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u00e3 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c mua \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u00ea\u0301u ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Nga. Tuy nhi\u00ean, sau khi M\u1ef9 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o Nga, Moskva \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1n ra 100 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0 mua g\u1ea7n 90 t\u1ef7 euro v\u00e0 NDT.<\/p>\n
Argentina, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Hong Kong (Trung Qu\u1ed1c), \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Indonesia, Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1n c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 200 t\u1ef7 USD. M\u1ed9t s\u00f4\u0301 n\u01b0\u1edbc r\u1ea5t c\u1ea7n ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ec1n t\u00ea\u0323 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c t\u1eeb b\u1ecf t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00ec c\u00f3 m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn v\u1edbi Washington.<\/p>\n
Theo JP Morgan, s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2019 v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (FED) s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y trong b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n
C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Ph\u1ed1 Wall cho r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u00a0s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00f4\u0301i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3ng USD gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m li\u00ea\u0300n, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y \u00a0s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2020.<\/p>\n
Nh\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Ulf Lindahl, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u A. G. Bisset Associates, chuy\u00ean nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f4\u0300ng USD v\u00e2\u0303n gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c trong 30 n\u0103m qua.<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u00f4ng Lindahl ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn r\u1eb1ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh s\u1ebd s\u1edbm thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD s\u1ebd b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u1ea3m d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. Theo nh\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh n\u00e0y, trong 5 n\u0103m t\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 40% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng euro.\/.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
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C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ee7a JP Morgan Chase, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng USD s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh b\u00e0y nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra kh\u00e1 s\u1edbm trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5768,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\n
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