{"id":4817,"date":"2019-07-12T03:01:03","date_gmt":"2019-07-12T00:01:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/trong-boi-canh-nay-dung-noi-dung-chinh-sach-tien-te-tao-loi-the-thuong-mai\/"},"modified":"2019-07-12T03:01:05","modified_gmt":"2019-07-12T00:01:05","slug":"trong-boi-canh-nay-dung-noi-dung-chinh-sach-tien-te-tao-loi-the-thuong-mai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/trong-boi-canh-nay-dung-noi-dung-chinh-sach-tien-te-tao-loi-the-thuong-mai\/","title":{"rendered":"“Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eebng n\u00f3i d\u00f9ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 t\u1ea1o l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i”"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u0110\u00f3\u00a0l\u00e0 chia s\u1ebb c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0 C\u1ea1nh tranh V\u00f5 Tr\u00ed Th\u00e0nh, trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp B\u00e1o c\u00e1o v\u0129 m\u00f4 qu\u00fd 2 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n\u00a0Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch (VEPR) s\u00e1ng 11\/7.<\/p>\n

C\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ecnh v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 nhi\u1ec1u<\/b><\/p>\n

Theo TS. V\u00f5 Tr\u00ed Th\u00e0nh, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u 6 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 t\u0103ng 7,3%, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu nh\u1edd m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1ef9. Nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u1ea1i \u0111ang c\u00f3 hai v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1, m\u1ed9t l\u00e0 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 hai l\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u1eb1m trong danh s\u00e1ch c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb theo d\u00f5i thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

“\u0110i\u1ec1u t\u1ed1t l\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 \u1ee9ng x\u1eed r\u1ea5t k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi, chu \u0111\u00e1o n\u00ean cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay m\u1ecdi vi\u1ec7c v\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u1ed5n th\u1ecfa. Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb x\u1ebfp v\u00e0o nh\u00f3m thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. D\u00f9 \u00f4ng Donald Trump n\u00f3i gay g\u1eaft v\u1ec1 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ecnh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u1edbi M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

Ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ecnh, n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ch\u1ed1ng gian l\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, v\u00ec th\u1ebf c\u1ea7n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf n\u00f3i vi\u1ec7c d\u00f9ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ea1nh tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. R\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng bu\u1ed3n khi c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u ki\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb v\u1ec1 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i ch\u1ec9 nh\u00ecn kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, c\u1ee9 b\u1ea3o ph\u1ea3i ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n bao nhi\u00eau ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m. T\u00f4i nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ecnh, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 m\u00e0 k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng vi\u1ec7c nh\u1ecf nh\u01b0 mua ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i”, \u00f4ng Th\u00e0nh n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 qu\u00fd 2\/2019 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch (VEPR) c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh t\u1edbi v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 tr\u00ean.<\/p>\n

Theo VEPR, ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u00e0 qu\u00fd 1\/2019, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng trong qu\u00fd 2, d\u00f9 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng kh\u00f4ng l\u1edbn. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2018 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc tuy kh\u00f4ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng VND theo m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Tuy v\u1eady, VEPR ch\u1ec9 ra m\u1ee9c thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111ang ng\u00e0y m\u1ed9t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n d\u01b0\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb ph\u00eda qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf qu\u00fd 4\/2018 t\u0103ng 1,8%, qu\u00fd 1\/2019 t\u0103ng 1%, qu\u00fd 2\/2019 ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng 0,3%.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a VEPR d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trong qu\u00fd t\u1edbi, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 do 3 l\u00fd do: FED kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng 7, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p so v\u1edbi USD, Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u1eb1m trong danh s\u00e1ch b\u1ecb gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 do y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n v\u00e3ng lai.<\/p>\n

“S\u1ee9c \u00e9p t\u1eeb ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1edbt \u00e1p l\u1ef1c h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng hai bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u trong n\u0103m 2019 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m trong m\u1ee9c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 ra. Vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u1eb1m trong danh s\u00e1ch theo d\u00f5i v\u1ec1 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng N\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea7n \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch linh ho\u1ea1t, kh\u00e1ch quan v\u00e0 t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng quy lu\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eb1m h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i. Vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1 th\u1ea5p gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng VND \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i s\u1ebd l\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f4ng s\u00e1ng su\u1ed1t trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y”, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a VEPR khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb.<\/p>\n

Theo TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. V\u1edbi c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 kinh nghi\u1ec7m \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 linh ho\u1ea1t, ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9 nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 kh\u00e1c nhau c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng, quan h\u1ec7 cung-c\u1ea7u ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u1eeb nay \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng 1,5-2%.<\/p>\n

EVFTA: Th\u1eed th\u00e1ch m\u1edbi cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam<\/b><\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ef1 do Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u2013 EU (EVFTA) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t FTA th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 28 n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean EU, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd k\u1ebft v\u00e0o 30\/6\/2019. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t sau 9 n\u0103m \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n t\u1ea1o nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft m\u1edf ra cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn s\u00e2u, r\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi EU \u2013 m\u1ed9t trong hai th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc ta.<\/p>\n

EVFTA h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m 100% d\u00f2ng thu\u1ebf trong v\u00f2ng 7 n\u0103m, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 ngay sau n\u0103m 2020, thu\u1ebf su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u01a1n 85% d\u00f2ng thu\u1ebf s\u1ebd v\u1ec1 0 – chi\u1ebfm t\u1edbi 70,3% kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam sang EU.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 hai, EVFTA \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0m GDP c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u0103ng th\u00eam \u1edf m\u1ee9c b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n 2,18 – 3,25% trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2019 \u2013 2023.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 ba, Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd n\u00e2ng cao n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ea1nh tranh cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao.<\/p>\n

C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1ec1 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng, lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, quy t\u1eafc xu\u1ea5t x\u1ee9,… c\u0169ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ecfa m\u00e3n y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t FTA th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 m\u1edbi. \u0110\u00e2y v\u1eeba l\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng l\u00e0 th\u1eed th\u00e1ch v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi kh\u00f4ng \u00edt nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c. V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, vi\u1ec7c d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng cho h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Vi\u1ec7t ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng EU c\u0169ng b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd v\u00e0o n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng h\u01a1n, t\u0103ng t\u00ednh c\u1ea1nh tranh cho h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Vi\u1ec7t tr\u00ean ch\u00ednh s\u00e2n nh\u00e0.<\/p>\n

“Vi\u1ec7c n\u00e2ng cao v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o nh\u1eefng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1ec1 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng,… \u0111\u1eb7t \u00e1p l\u1ef1c chi ph\u00ed l\u00ean c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p. Ti\u00eau bi\u1ec3u nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang xoay x\u1edf \u0111\u1ec3 g\u1ee1 b\u1ecf th\u1ebb v\u00e0ng cho h\u00e0ng th\u1ee7y s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ef3 ki\u1ec3m tra c\u1ee7a EC t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

Song song, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 – \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu mu\u00f4n thu\u1edf c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft: c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf \u0111i c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn th\u1ef1c thi c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00edch c\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb ph\u00eda EU, doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n hi\u1ec3u v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n quy\u1ec1n l\u1ee3i v\u00e0 ngh\u0129a v\u1ee5 trong vi\u1ec7c s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u00e1ng ti\u1ebfc nh\u01b0 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Trung Nguy\u00ean, thu\u1ed1c l\u00e1 Vinataba,\u2026”, VEPR khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] \u0110\u00f3\u00a0l\u00e0 chia s\u1ebb c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0 C\u1ea1nh tranh V\u00f5 Tr\u00ed Th\u00e0nh, trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp B\u00e1o c\u00e1o v\u0129 m\u00f4 qu\u00fd 2 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n\u00a0Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch (VEPR) s\u00e1ng 11\/7. C\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ecnh v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 nhi\u1ec1u Theo TS. 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