{"id":2073,"date":"2019-05-26T22:18:08","date_gmt":"2019-05-26T19:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/chien-tranh-thuong-mai-my\/"},"modified":"2019-05-26T22:18:09","modified_gmt":"2019-05-26T19:18:09","slug":"chien-tranh-thuong-mai-my","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/chien-tranh-thuong-mai-my\/","title":{"rendered":"Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ti\u1ebfp theo B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a leo thang chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam ng\u00e0y 13\/5\/2015, TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c v\u00e0 Nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n B\u00e1o c\u00e1o chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh – ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t, sau quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 25% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi 50 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 8\/2018; ng\u00e0y 17\/9\/2018, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 D. Trump ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 10% l\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n 200 t\u1ef7 USD, hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 24\/9\/2018v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 25% t\u1eeb 10\/5\/2019. T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng D. Trump c\u0169ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn, M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u00e1p thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 300 t\u1ef7 USDh\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c. \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u00e1p thu\u1ebf t\u1eeb 8-25% v\u1edbi h\u01a1n 5.000 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb 60 t\u1ef7 USD, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 24\/9\/2018 v\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb 1\/6\/2019.<\/p>\n

Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c NHTW v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/b><\/p>\n

Sau khi th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung kh\u00f4ng thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng; cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng leo thang, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 sau khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 D. Trump \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean Twitter (5\/5, gi\u1edd M\u1ef9) tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 10% l\u00ean 25% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi g\u1ea7n 200 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 10\/5\/2019 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c (\u00e1p thu\u1ebf t\u1eeb 8-25% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi 60 t\u1ef7 USD nh\u1eadp t\u1eeb M\u1ef9, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 24\/8\/2018 v\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb 1\/6\/2019); h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng (NHTW) c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ec1u theo d\u00f5i \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c b\u00ean v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u; ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 NHTW n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1ec1 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c…Theo \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Bloomberg, NHTW c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc (nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, Indonesia) d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng gi\u1eef \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n th\u00e1o ch\u1ea1y (capital flight) thay v\u00ec \u0111ua nhau ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ea1nh tranh xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n (TTCK) bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh theo chi\u1ec1u h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m. TTCK M\u1ef9 (Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P500), ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (FTSE, DAX, CAC), Trung Qu\u1ed1c (g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 Hong Kong) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c (TOPIX-Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, KOSPI-H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c) \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00e1 l\u1edbn so v\u1edbi ng\u00e0y giao d\u1ecbch tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019, sau khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 25% nh\u01b0 n\u00eau tr\u00ean v\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Theo \u0111\u00f3, t\u00ednh t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 5\/5 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft ng\u00e0y 24\/5\/2019, TTCK M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n -3,23% (trong \u0111\u00f3 DJIA -2,5%, Nasdaq -4,6%, S&P500 \u2013 2,6%); TTCK Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (CAC -3,5%, DAX -2,7%); TTCK H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c (KOSPI) gi\u1ea3m -5,4%, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (Nikkei 225) gi\u1ea3m -3,5%; TTCK Trung Qu\u1ed1c (Shanghai -1,8%, Hang Seng -6,8%) (H\u00ecnh 1).<\/p>\n

H\u00ecnh 1: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 TTCK qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft ng\u00e0y 24\/5\/2019<\/i><\/p>\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bloomberg, Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 MSCI c\u1ee7a 23 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i (g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 kh\u1ed1i BRICS) c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh -6,1% trong g\u1ea7n 20 ng\u00e0y qua, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb giao d\u1ecbch trung b\u00ecnh ng\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 30 t\u1ef7 USD\/ng\u00e0y, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh 35,3 t\u1ef7 USD\/ng\u00e0y giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1eeb 1\/1-24\/5\/2019 (H\u00ecnh 2).<\/p>\n

H\u00ecnh 2: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 MSCI c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i (%, t\u1eeb 1\/1-24\/5\/2019)<\/i><\/p>\n

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\"Chi\u1ebfn<\/div>\n
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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bloomberg, Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Trong v\u00f2ng 1 tu\u1ea7n (17-23\/5\/2019), c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu A-share c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u00ean hai s\u00e0n Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ea3i v\u00e0 Th\u1ea9m Quy\u1ebfn v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng m\u1ee9c b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng trong 5 ng\u00e0y l\u00e0 20,3 t\u1ef7 CNY (t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng kho\u1ea3ng 2,94 t\u1ef7 USD).<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1. T\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft ng\u00e0y 24\/5\/2019, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng USD (DXY) \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 1,9% so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t kh\u00e1c; trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng R\u00fap c\u1ee7a Nga (RUB), Bath Th\u00e1i (THB), Peso c\u1ee7a Philippines (PHP)\u2026 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD; h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi USD (trong \u0111\u00f3 EUR gi\u1ea3m -2,63%; CNY gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng -0,42%; JPY gi\u1ea3m -0,77%, VND gi\u1ea3m -0,95%…v.v.).<\/p>\n

H\u00ecnh 3: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD (DXY) v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u00e1c (1\/1-24\/5\/2019)<\/i><\/p>\n

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\"Chi\u1ebfn<\/div>\n
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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bloomberg, Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

T\u00ednh ri\u00eang t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 6\/5 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft ng\u00e0y 24\/5\/2019, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i (MSCI currency) gi\u1ea3m -1,1%, l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 8\/2018 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trung b\u00ecnh kho\u1ea3ng -0,1%\/ng\u00e0y; trong \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi USD trong h\u01a1n 2 tu\u1ea7n qua l\u00e0 CNY (-2%), TWD (-1,87%), MYR (-1%), SGD (-0,87%), IDR (-0,7%). Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f3, VND m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 -0,5% so v\u1edbi USD l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u2013 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Vi\u1ec7t Nam ra sao?<\/b><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t:\u00a0<\/b><\/i>C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn t\u1edbi nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. Theo \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng l\u00ean (m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0 do kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn kh\u00e1 \u1ed5n), trong khi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng CNY gi\u1ea3m nh\u01b0 n\u00eau tr\u00ean. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh (do quan h\u1ec7 cung-c\u1ea7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u1ed5n, thanh kho\u1ea3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o, d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng…), nh\u01b0ng nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1edbi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 6, \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 7\/2018 (khi c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i leo thang), t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh (v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c 23.000 VND\/USD), sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ecbu l\u1ea1i nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 linh ho\u1ea1t, can thi\u1ec7p k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi c\u1ee7a NHNN. Trong g\u1ea7n 4 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 giao d\u1ecbch \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 5\/2019, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 VND\/USD bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n, khi\u1ebfn cho t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft ng\u00e0y 24\/5\/2019, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 0,95% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m; ri\u00eang giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 6\/5 \u0111\u1ebfn 24\/5\/2019, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 0,5%.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do: (i) \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, (ii) lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung leo thang; qua \u0111\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e2m l\u00fd v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, c\u00f2n quan h\u1ec7 cung-c\u1ea7u ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. \u0110\u00e1ng l\u01b0u \u00fd l\u00e0 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 20\/5 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed VND c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 nh\u1eb9 so v\u1edbi USD (H\u00ecnh 4).<\/p>\n

H\u00ecnh 4: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND (t\u1eeb 2\/5 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft ng\u00e0y 23\/5\/2019)<\/i><\/p>\n

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\"Chi\u1ebfn<\/div>\n
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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bloomberg, Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Song v\u1ec1 trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, theo TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV cho r\u1eb1ng, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND s\u1ebd t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u00e0o c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 nh\u01b0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP, tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u00e1n c\u00e2n thanh to\u00e1n t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, thu h\u00fat FDI, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng… v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd s\u00e1t sao, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a NHNN. Tuy nhi\u00ean, do c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t r\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 (g\u1ed3m 8 lo\u1ea1i ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t nh\u01b0 USD, EUR, JPY, CNY…) trong khi kim ng\u1ea1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 23% t\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u n\u0103m 2018, n\u00ean trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng CNY b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 th\u00ec VND c\u0169ng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ecf.\u00a0<\/p>\n

C\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec3m thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 CNY l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng cao, v\u1edbi 3 l\u00fd do ch\u00ednh: (i) Trung Qu\u1ed1c lo ng\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 r\u00fat v\u1ed1n m\u1ea1nh (capital flight) nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra trong n\u0103m 2015, (ii) Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n b\u1ecb cho l\u00e0 thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, g\u00e2y c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u00eam trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 (iii)Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn ki\u00ean \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ed3ng CNY (m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u0111\u1ed3ng CNY gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng 5, nh\u01b0ng Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u00e0 NHTW Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 do bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, kh\u00f4ng c\u1ed1 t\u00ecnh ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng CNY).\u00a0<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady, theo c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ee7a BIDV, b\u00e0i to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n (m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0 do y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd), \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 \u1ee9ng x\u1eed ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1edbi c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 kinh nghi\u1ec7m \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 linh ho\u1ea1t, ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9 nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 kh\u00e1c nhau c\u1ee7a NHNN c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng, quan h\u1ec7 cung-c\u1ea7u ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh; nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 cho r\u1eb1ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND trong t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u00e0 t\u0103ng 2-3% trong n\u0103m 2019 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung tuy kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp th\u00f4ng qua bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c h\u01a1n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng l\u00ean trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng h\u01a1n, FED c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, khi \u0111\u00f3 m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t USD gi\u1ea3m, g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t USD v\u00e0 VND t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh gi\u1eb1ng co \u0111\u00f3, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t VND s\u1ebd \u0111i ngang (c\u00f3 \u0111\u00f4i l\u00fac t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9) l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (FII): m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 trong n\u0103m 2018 v\u00e0 4 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019, TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n, song Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eabn l\u00e0 n\u01a1i thu h\u00fat m\u1ea1nh v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i. Trong 4 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u00f3p v\u1ed1n, mua c\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh (\u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1edbi nay), t\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb g\u00f3p v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea1t 7,14 t\u1ef7 USD, t\u0103ng 210% so c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2018. N\u1ebfu lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb 3,85 t\u1ef7 USD do khoa\u0309n chuy\u1ec3n n\u1ee3 th\u00e0nh v\u1ed1n c\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n cu\u0309a Beerco Ltd (C\u00f4ng ty con cu\u0309a ThaiBev ta\u0323i Hong Kong) v\u00e0o C\u00f4ng ty TNHH Vietnam Beverage th\u00ec v\u1ed1n FII \u0111\u1ea1t 3,29 t\u1ef7 USD, t\u0103ng 45% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2018.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u00e1 cao (WB v\u00e0 ADB d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m nay t\u0103ng 6,6-6,8%), l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, doanh nghi\u1ec7p ni\u00eam y\u1ebft kinh doanh kh\u1ea3 quan; ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VNIndex t\u0103ng kh\u00e1 t\u00ednh t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn nay (10,2%) so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n 0,55% c\u1ee7a ASEAN-5 (trong \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 SET-Th\u00e1i Lan t\u0103ng 3,1%; STI – Singapore t\u0103ng 3,7%; PSEj \u2013 Philippines t\u0103ng 3,4%, Jakarta Composite gi\u1ea3m -3,9%, KL Composite – Malaysia gi\u1ea3m -5,1%).<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 thanh kho\u1ea3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1 th\u1ea5p, song kh\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mua r\u00f2ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, \u0111\u1ea1t h\u01a1n 5.100 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng trong qu\u00fd 1\/2019, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 t\u1edbi 85% \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ETFs. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao kh\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mua r\u00f2ng trong qu\u00fd 2\/2019 v\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00fap \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh TTCK. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n FII v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i hay \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m, th\u00ec s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n FII v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam 4 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1ed1t cho c\u1ea3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 TTCK.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong th\u00e1ng 5\/2019, v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 leo thang c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c TTCK khu v\u1ef1c, TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n. Trong 14 phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb 6\/5-23\/5\/2019, kh\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng 11\/14 phi\u00ean (trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng 8 phi\u00ean li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u1eeb 7\/5 \u0111\u1ebfn 16\/5), mua r\u00f2ng 3\/14 phi\u00ean; v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng g\u1ea7n 1.600 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n

H\u00ecnh 5: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VNIndex (t\u1eeb 2\/5 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft ng\u00e0y 23\/5\/2019)<\/i><\/p>\n

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\"Chi\u1ebfn<\/div>\n
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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bloomberg, Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV cho r\u1eb1ng, trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u li\u00ean th\u00f4ng v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf; do \u0111\u00f3, nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i v\u1edbi n\u1ed7i lo chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Theo \u0111\u00f3, nh\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao, x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u00fat v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u00edt r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n, an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n (h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 P\/E t\u1eeb 22 l\u1ea7n xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 14 l\u1ea7n hi\u1ec7n nay), ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00e1 cao, ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf n\u00e2ng x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y; Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong s\u1ed1 \u00edt n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i c\u00f3 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ngo\u1ea1i mua r\u00f2ng, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 1,9 t\u1ef7 USD trong n\u0103m 2018 (t\u0103ng 60% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2017) v\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 16.262 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng (kho\u1ea3ng 695 tri\u1ec7u USD) t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn nay (24\/5\/2019).\u00a0<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 cho r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7n h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u; \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi theo d\u00f5i s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb TTCK sang c\u00e1c k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u00edt r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n nh\u01b0 ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m, B\u0110S… Ngo\u00e0i ra, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 khi\u1ebfn cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9; \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c t\u1edbi lu\u1ed3ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Do \u0111\u00f3, nh\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao, x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p l\u1ea1i, theo TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV, chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 -Trung leo thang c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u2013 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam. V\u1ec1 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3, kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u00e1 cao v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh; t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n trong t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u00ednh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng, \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, c\u00e1c B\u1ed9, ng\u00e0nh, doanh nghi\u1ec7p, \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ph\u1ea3i theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh – ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf; t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u00e0 \u1ee9ng x\u1eed, can thi\u1ec7p k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi, linh ho\u1ea1t, ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u2013 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh x\u1eed l\u00fd nh\u1eefng t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, t\u0103ng c\u00e1c g\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ec7m nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, an to\u00e0n v\u1ed1n c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c t\u00edch c\u1ef1c d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, ph\u00e1i sinh t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh… nh\u1eb1m t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i, gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u00f3i chung v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh – ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 n\u00f3i ri\u00eang.<\/p>\n

TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c v\u00e0 Nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV<\/b><\/p>\n\n

<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Ti\u1ebfp theo B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a leo thang chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam ng\u00e0y 13\/5\/2015, TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c v\u00e0 Nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n B\u00e1o c\u00e1o chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2074,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2073","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\nChi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 - Super News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/chien-tranh-thuong-mai-my\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 - Super News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[ad_1] Ti\u1ebfp theo B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a leo thang chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam ng\u00e0y 13\/5\/2015, TS. 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