{"id":1099,"date":"2019-05-08T01:12:03","date_gmt":"2019-05-07T22:12:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/dinh-gia-thi-truong-viet-nam-khong-con-qua-re-du-bao-vn-index-ket-thuc-nam-2019-trong-vung-920-950-diem\/"},"modified":"2019-05-08T01:12:07","modified_gmt":"2019-05-07T22:12:07","slug":"dinh-gia-thi-truong-viet-nam-khong-con-qua-re-du-bao-vn-index-ket-thuc-nam-2019-trong-vung-920-950-diem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/dinh-gia-thi-truong-viet-nam-khong-con-qua-re-du-bao-vn-index-ket-thuc-nam-2019-trong-vung-920-950-diem\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201c\u0110\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 r\u1ebb, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o VN-Index k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u0103m 2019 trong v\u00f9ng 920 \u2013 950 \u0111i\u1ec3m\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ng\u00e0y 7\/5\/2019 \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2019: G\u00f3c nh\u00ecn v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn doanh nghi\u1ec7p do Vietinbank Securities t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c. T\u1ea1i bu\u1ed5i h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o, nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

Theo d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a CTCK Vietinbank Securities (CTS), v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2019, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VN-Index s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 920 \u2013 950 \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn doanh nghi\u1ec7p ni\u00eam y\u1ebft HoSE \u0111\u1ea1t 7,51%; T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2019 \u0111\u1ea1t 6,7%; L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4%; FED kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

Vietinbank Securities cho r\u1eb1ng b\u1ee9c tranh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103m 2019 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u00e0u h\u1ed3ng, c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u00e0u x\u00e1m m\u00e0 mang s\u1eafc th\u00e1i trung t\u00ednh v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea7n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n

D\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i li\u1ec7u c\u00f3 c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ed5 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam?<\/b><\/p>\n

Vietinbank Securities cho bi\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 P\/E c\u1ee7a VN-Index hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 16,38, cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh P\/E giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2013 \u2013 2018 v\u00e0 trung b\u00ecnh khu v\u1ef1c \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1. T\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t sinh l\u1eddi c\u1ee7a VN-Index (Earning Yeild) hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1t 6,8%, kh\u00f4ng h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn khi so v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 12 th\u00e1ng t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u00e1ng 9\/2019, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u00f3 t\u00ean trong danh s\u00e1ch theo d\u00f5i n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1eadn bi\u00ean l\u00ean m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i lo\u1ea1i 2 c\u1ee7a FTSE Russell v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9\/2020. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u00e0o 30\/3\/2019, FTSE \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 b\u1eadc m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i ti\u00eau ch\u00ed \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e9t n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam (thanh to\u00e1n, l\u01b0u k\u00fd v\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u00e0i s\u00e0n).<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ea7n quan t\u00e2m kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 sau khi n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng, d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 li\u1ec7u c\u00f3 b\u1ecb r\u00fat ra? Trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00fang ki\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a TTCK Pakistan, Qatar khi ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c MSCI, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 FTSE n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng l\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 Vietinbank Securities l\u01b0u \u00fd nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n

N\u00f3i th\u00eam v\u1ec1 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i, \u00f4ng \u0110\u00e0o Ph\u00fac T\u01b0\u1eddng \u2013 Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 C\u00f4ng ty qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd qu\u1ef9 APS (Singapore) cho bi\u1ebft TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua 3 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn c\u1ee7a kh\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i g\u1ed3m 2006 \u2013 2007; 2017 \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2018 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019. Trong \u0111\u00f3, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2006 \u2013 2007 \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n m\u1edf c\u1eeda th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, gia nh\u1eadp WTO\u2026; Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2017 \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2018, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, tho\u00e1i v\u1ed1n doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc, nhi\u1ec1u doanh nghi\u1ec7p l\u1edbn l\u00ean s\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i m\u1edbi t\u1eeb c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Emerging Markets, Frontier Markets trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i. Theo nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng T\u01b0\u1eddng, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n xong trong \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019.<\/p>\n

Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u1eeba qua, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, Th\u00e1i Lan, Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Trong khi d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 nh\u01b0 VNM ETF, FTSE ETF c\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. \u00d4ng T\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam giai \u0111o\u1ea1n qua tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb “story”, v\u00e0 khi “story” qua \u0111i, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n m\u1ea1nh n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Emerging Markets, t\u0103ng t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng trong Frontier Markets, \u00f4ng T\u01b0\u1eddng cho r\u1eb1ng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng b\u1edfi \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n m\u1edbi n\u1eefa, c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc r\u1ed3i. \u00d4ng \u0110\u00e0o Ph\u00fac T\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n Quang Thu\u00e2n \u2013 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch ki\u00eam TG\u0110 Fiin Group cho r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng Emerging Markets kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i qu\u00e1 kh\u00f3. Trong c\u00e1c ti\u00eau ch\u00ed \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng, v\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1eafc l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i. \u00d4ng Thu\u00e2n l\u01b0u \u00fd t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00e1 l\u1edbn, v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng 40% tr\u00ean HoSE. Do \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ebd kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n l\u1edbn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Ng\u00e0y 7\/5\/2019 \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2019: G\u00f3c nh\u00ecn v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn doanh nghi\u1ec7p do Vietinbank Securities t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c. T\u1ea1i bu\u1ed5i h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o, nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u0169ng […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1100,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201c\u0110\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 r\u1ebb, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o VN-Index k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u0103m 2019 trong v\u00f9ng 920 \u2013 950 \u0111i\u1ec3m\u201d - Super News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/super-news.info\/vi\/dinh-gia-thi-truong-viet-nam-khong-con-qua-re-du-bao-vn-index-ket-thuc-nam-2019-trong-vung-920-950-diem\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201c\u0110\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 r\u1ebb, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o VN-Index k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u0103m 2019 trong v\u00f9ng 920 \u2013 950 \u0111i\u1ec3m\u201d - Super News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[ad_1] Ng\u00e0y 7\/5\/2019 \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2019: G\u00f3c nh\u00ecn v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn doanh nghi\u1ec7p do Vietinbank Securities t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c. 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