{"id":4268,"date":"2021-08-31T01:51:43","date_gmt":"2021-08-30T22:51:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/pl\/ekonomisci-credit-agricole-podniesli-prognoze-inflacji-w-polsce\/"},"modified":"2021-08-31T01:51:47","modified_gmt":"2021-08-30T22:51:47","slug":"ekonomisci-credit-agricole-podniesli-prognoze-inflacji-w-polsce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/super-news.info\/pl\/ekonomisci-credit-agricole-podniesli-prognoze-inflacji-w-polsce\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomi\u015bci Credit Agricole podnie\u015bli prognoz\u0119 inflacji w Polsce"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021-08-30 10:26publikacja2021-08-30 10:26Podziel si\u0119fot. Maciej Rutkowski \/ \/\u00a0ShutterstockEkonomi\u015bci banku Credit Agricole podnie\u015bli swoj\u0105 prognoz\u0119 \u015bredniorocznej inflacji w Polsce w 2021 r. do 4,4 proc. z prognozowanych dotychczas 4,1 proc. – wynika z raportu banku. Za podniesieniem prognozy stoi m.in. oczekiwana wy\u017csza dynamika cen \u017cywno\u015bci oraz napoj\u00f3w bezalkoholowych.
\n„Oczekujemy, \u017ce inflacja og\u00f3\u0142em wyniesie \u015bredniorocznie 4,4 proc. rdr w 2021 r. i obni\u017cy si\u0119 do 3,3 proc. w 2022 r. Na pocz\u0105tku 2022 r. inflacja b\u0119dzie wci\u0105\u017c na podwy\u017cszonym poziomie (3,9 proc. w okresie stycze\u0144-luty), jednak pocz\u0105wszy od marca zacznie si\u0119 szybko obni\u017ca\u0107 i b\u0119dzie kszta\u0142towa\u0142a si\u0119 w przedziale 2,6-2,8 proc. do ko\u0144ca roku. Przedstawiona powy\u017cej prognoza inflacji stanowi silne wsparcie dla naszego scenariusza w polityce pieni\u0119\u017cnej zak\u0142adaj\u0105cego pierwsz\u0105 podwy\u017ck\u0119 st\u00f3p dopiero w I kw. 2023 r.” – napisano w raporcie Credit Agircole.
\nZdaniem ekonomist\u00f3w na wy\u017csz\u0105 inflacj\u0119 wp\u0142ynie przede wszystkim wy\u017csza ni\u017c oczekiwano wcze\u015bniej dynamika cen \u017cywno\u015bci i napoj\u00f3w bezalkoholowych.
\n„Zrewidowali\u015bmy nasz\u0105 prognoz\u0119 inflacji, uwzgl\u0119dniaj\u0105c lipcow\u0105 niespodziank\u0119 inflacyjn\u0105. Obecnie oczekujemy, \u017ce dynamika cen \u017cywno\u015bci i napoj\u00f3w bezalkoholowych zmniejszy si\u0119 z 4,8 proc. rdr w 2020 r. do 2,6 proc. w 2021 r. (2,3 proc. przed rewizj\u0105), a w 2022 r. wyniesie 2,5 proc. (2,5 proc.). G\u0142\u00f3wn\u0105 przyczyn\u0105 rewizji s\u0105 s\u0142absze w por\u00f3wnaniu do naszych pierwotnych oczekiwa\u0144 warunki agrometeorologiczne w Polsce i na \u015bwiecie, co sk\u0142oni\u0142o nas do podniesienia \u015bcie\u017cek cen w kategoriach +pieczywo i produkty zbo\u017cowe+, +owoce+ i +warzywa+” – napisali.
\nG\u0142\u00f3wny Urz\u0105d Statystyczny poda\u0142 13 sierpnia, \u017ce ceny towar\u00f3w i us\u0142ug konsumpcyjnych w lipcu 2021 r. wzros\u0142y rdr o 5,0 proc., a w por\u00f3wnaniu z poprzednim miesi\u0105cem ceny wzros\u0142y o 0,4 proc.
\nWed\u0142ug ekonomist\u00f3w Credit Agricole dynamika cen \u017cywno\u015bci i napoj\u00f3w bezalkoholowych osi\u0105gnie swoje maksimum lokalne w grudniu br. i wyra\u017anie przekroczy 4 proc. rdr. Od pocz\u0105tku 2022 r. dynamika cen \u017cywno\u015bci b\u0119dzie kszta\u0142towa\u0142a si\u0119 w \u0142agodnym trendzie spadkowym.
\n„Ponadto, od sierpnia br. podwy\u017cszone zosta\u0142y ceny gazu, co podniesie \u015bcie\u017ck\u0119 inflacji og\u00f3\u0142em o ok. 0,2 pkt. proc. przez najbli\u017csze 12 miesi\u0119cy” – dodano. (PAP Biznes)
\nluk\/ mfm\/\u0179r\u00f3d\u0142o:PAP Biznes
\n
\n
\nSource link <\/a>
\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021-08-30 10:26publikacja2021-08-30 10:26Podziel si\u0119fot. Maciej Rutkowski \/ \/\u00a0ShutterstockEkonomi\u015bci banku Credit Agricole podnie\u015bli swoj\u0105 prognoz\u0119 \u015bredniorocznej inflacji w Polsce w 2021 r. do 4,4 proc. z prognozowanych dotychczas 4,1 proc. – wynika z raportu banku. Za podniesieniem prognozy stoi m.in. oczekiwana wy\u017csza dynamika cen \u017cywno\u015bci oraz napoj\u00f3w bezalkoholowych. „Oczekujemy, \u017ce inflacja og\u00f3\u0142em wyniesie \u015bredniorocznie 4,4 proc. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4212,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-wiadomosci-finansowe"],"yoast_head":"\nEkonomi\u015bci Credit Agricole podnie\u015bli prognoz\u0119 inflacji w Polsce - Super News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/super-news.info\/pl\/ekonomisci-credit-agricole-podniesli-prognoze-inflacji-w-polsce\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pl_PL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ekonomi\u015bci Credit Agricole podnie\u015bli prognoz\u0119 inflacji w Polsce - Super News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"2021-08-30 10:26publikacja2021-08-30 10:26Podziel si\u0119fot. Maciej Rutkowski \/ \/\u00a0ShutterstockEkonomi\u015bci banku Credit Agricole podnie\u015bli swoj\u0105 prognoz\u0119 \u015bredniorocznej inflacji w Polsce w 2021 r. do 4,4 proc. z prognozowanych dotychczas 4,1 proc. – wynika z raportu banku. Za podniesieniem prognozy stoi m.in. oczekiwana wy\u017csza dynamika cen \u017cywno\u015bci oraz napoj\u00f3w bezalkoholowych. „Oczekujemy, \u017ce inflacja og\u00f3\u0142em wyniesie \u015bredniorocznie 4,4 proc. 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Maciej Rutkowski \/ \/\u00a0ShutterstockEkonomi\u015bci banku Credit Agricole podnie\u015bli swoj\u0105 prognoz\u0119 \u015bredniorocznej inflacji w Polsce w 2021 r. do 4,4 proc. z prognozowanych dotychczas 4,1 proc. – wynika z raportu banku. Za podniesieniem prognozy stoi m.in. oczekiwana wy\u017csza dynamika cen \u017cywno\u015bci oraz napoj\u00f3w bezalkoholowych. „Oczekujemy, \u017ce inflacja og\u00f3\u0142em wyniesie \u015bredniorocznie 4,4 proc. 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